PRACTICUM DIRECT: Pandemic Simulator
About this good practice
Based on neuroscience and cognitive psychology, incorporating doubt into managerial decision making to guide the brain towards knowledge integration.
Its aim is to boost knowledge management and research by improving the reliability of services.
The need for assistance and support in decision-making has been identified at the micro-management, mesomanagement and macro-management levels.
The national health system (management teams at different levels within the health organisation) will take decisions in a pandemic on the basis of the results-based guide that results from pooling all the decisions taken in similar situations in all the hospitals, services and categories in the regions, country and other countries.
By combining epidemiological models with artificial intelligence techniques and methods based on neuroscience and cognitive psychology, we incorporate all decisions that have been made in care centres (hospitals and primary care) and social-healthcare centres to provide a decision-making SIMULATOR.
Based on the contingency plans, a predictive model of the evolution (e.g. infection rate, admissions linked to decision making and the COVID 19 wave, consumption of Noradrenaline, Antibiotics, corticoids, etc.) is been developed.
The project has 3 phases: modelling, validation/testing and implementation. The project is currently in the first phase. Different regional managers have been interviewed on the basis of a questionnaire designed for this project.
- A team made up of health professionals, expert team
- Data scientist team, ffor the development of the model for decision making.
- Access to aggregated databases (not clinical data), on the evolution of the pandemic (also available in SERGAS)
Evidence of success
The results of initial part are currently being analysed and algorithms are being developed to enable the development of a decision simulator based on previous experience.
Potential for learning or transfer
The coverage is regional at the moment but depending on success it could be implemented at other organisational levels and regions.
There are simulators for clinical decision making, validated by the European Board of Medical Asessors, but no for decision making in health management. Therefore, it represents a great opportunity to lead the training of managers in the health area and to be a benchmark.